![Image](http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2280/2472726355_df44636dfd_o.jpg)
This is a series of weigh-ins for me starting from April (I think. Someone with better eyes might wanna correct me). Taken as a daily thing, it would be really easy to get discouraged, even with the seven day moving average trendline (the red line takes the last seven days as an average and plots the curve according to that. It's a moving average, which means when I add data, it automatically updates). Notice right now it seems to be going UP. GACK! FEAR! FIRE! FOE! AWAKE!
![Image](http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2168/2473547234_276a27867d.jpg)
This is a chart reflecting my daily weigh-ins since the end of February. Notice that the blue line is still ALL OVER the place. There's little to no consistency in weight other than one thing....
If you look at the red line (This is a 30 day moving average. Same principle, but it's looking over a month's time) you'll notice that the trend is a slow, steady down.
Reinhard talks a bit about this in his book -- that you need to be looking in terms of months and years, not days and weeks. The problem is excess over a slow and steady period. That means to correct the problem you're looking at a correct over the same slow and steady period.